Nevada Ignored by GOP Pollsters
Due to the fact there has not been a single GOP poll in Nevada since December 27, we have to use date showing the average of all polls up to that point (shown below as Pollster Trend).
We would expect to see Donald Trump and Ted Cruz 1 and 2, but Carson has likely fallen. Rubio is probably at #3 and Kasich is likely to have seen a bump. Here is a more likely picture of the Nevada Caucus poll as of 2-14-16.
Trump – 38%
Cruz – 26%
Rubio – 17%
Kasich – 8%
Bush – 6%
Carson – 5%