BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH 245 REPUBLICAN LIKELY CAUCUS GOERS — SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 6.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.

GOP Debate held at the Venetian Hotel – Las Vega, Nevada. 12-15-15

Trump Wins the GOP Nevada Caucus! *Predictions based on poll data, caucus history, and other trends. Donald Trump – 40% Marco Rubio —- 30% Ted Cruz ——— 18% John Kasich —– 6% Ben Carson —— 5% Other ————– 1%  

GOP CBS South Carolina Debate 2-13-16

Bernie Sanders Speaks at UNR on 2/13/16

Trump Speaks in at the South Point Hotel in Las Vegas 1-21-16  

BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH 245 REPUBLICAN LIKELY CAUCUS GOERS — SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 6.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.

Why is the Nevada Caucus Important? The Nevada Caucus will be the third step in the 2016 United States presidential election process after Iowa Caucus and New Hampshire Primary. The Nevada Caucus came into prominence in 2008 when the Democrats moved the date of the Nevada Caucus into the third overall spot and the fist …

Hillary Clinton speaks at Town Hall Meeting in Nevada, early in the race.

Due to the fact there has not been a single GOP poll in Nevada since December 27, we have to use date showing the average of all polls up to that point (shown below  as Pollster Trend). We would expect to see Donald Trump and Ted Cruz 1 and 2, but Carson has likely fallen.  …